The Effects of Aging and Myopia on the Pay-as-you-go Social Security System of the G7
نویسندگان
چکیده
The Social Security systems of the G7 countries were established in an era when populations were young and the number or contributors far outweighed the number of beneficiaries. Now, for each beneficiary there are fewer contributors, and this downward trend is projected to accelerate. To evaluate the prospects for these economies we develop an overlapping generations model in which growth is endogenously fueled by individuals’ investments in physical and human capital and by the government’s investment in human capital via public education expenditures. We analyze individuals’ behavior when their expectations over their length of life are rational and adaptive (myopic). We examine for each of the economies and for each of the expectation assumptions whether policies exist that can offset the effects of aging, should they be adverse. Further, we examine how policies aimed at a specific target group affect the welfare of the economy as a whole.
منابع مشابه
Financing Long-term Care: Some Ideas From Switzerland; Comment on “Financing Long-term Care: Lessons From Japan”
Ikegami reviews the implementation of mandatory long-term care insurance systems in Germany and Japan, which are organized as pay-as-you-go systems. I propose to go one step further and implement a multi-pillar, mandatory and voluntary long-term care financing system, which combines pay-as-you-go with capital-funded elements. The proposal is based on the observation tha...
متن کاملشبیه سازی یک الگوی نسل های همپوشان 55 دوره ای با رویکرد به سازی نظام بازنشستگی ایران
The ability of OLG models in analyzing and simulating the various fields of an economy, such as the investigation of endogenous growth policies, the development of intergenerational equity criteria and the reform of social security system, has caused these models to have a special position among economists in recent decades. However, difficulties in quantifying these models and analyzing their ...
متن کاملThe Effects of Annuities, Bequests, and Aging in an Overlapping Generations Model of Endogenous Growth
In this paper, we examine the effects of introducing actuarially fair annuity markets into an overlapping generations model of endogenous growth. We find the complete annuitization of agents’ wealth is not, in general, dynamically optimal; that the degree of annuitization that is dynamically optimal depends nonmonotonically on the expected length of retirement and on the pay-as-you-go social se...
متن کاملDo notional defined contribution accounts make sense as part of the old-age security mix for China?
Until quite recently, the Chinese pension system was an enterprise-based, pay-as-you-go, defined benefit scheme. In 1995, the decision was made to shift to a multi-pillar scheme that included a second funded defined contribution pillar. The transition is proving difficult. This article outlines an alternative second pillar that may make more sense for China, a pay-as-you-go notional defined con...
متن کامل